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US business formation surges after 2024 election

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Macro Trends

US business formation surges after 2024 election — investors take note link

  • New business applications in the US have jumped sharply since November 2024, according to US Census Bureau data. The increase marks one of the largest post-election surges in recent years.

  • The trend suggests a boost in entrepreneurial activity that could signal stronger demand for commercial space, small business lending, and local services. This uptick comes despite ongoing economic uncertainty.

  • If sustained, the rise in business creation could tighten certain real estate markets—especially in fast-growing metro areas where new companies seek office, industrial, or retail space.

Real Estate Trends

Apartment Rental Shortages Loom in These 3 Metros as Trump’s Tariffs Take Hold link

  • Orlando apartment permits fell nearly 55% in Q2 2025 to 2,251 units, the first quarterly drop since 2022, reversing years of steady growth. Local rents are down 1.4% year over year to $1,694.

  • Philadelphia saw a 28% quarterly decline in permits to 937 units, ending a three-year growth streak. Median rent there dropped 2.7% annually to $1,771.

  • San Antonio permits plunged 27% in Q2 to just 420 units, compared to a 58% jump in the same period in 2023. Rents have fallen 2.6% year over year to $1,246, while construction costs spike from tariffs on steel, aluminum, and lumber.

Multifamily costs cool, but rent growth still stuck link

  • Operating expenses for market-rate apartments rose just 1.3% in early 2025, down sharply from prior years, and insurance costs barely increased after more than doubling since 2019.

  • Despite the cost relief, national average rents in July rose only $2 (0.7% YoY) to $1,754, with annual growth stuck between 0.5% and 1.1% for nearly two years.

  • Roughly 1 million units are under construction nationwide, half already pre-leased, keeping occupancy stable but limiting landlords’ ability to push rents higher.

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Opportunity Zone home prices lag behind U.S.—but Midwest bucks the trend link

  • In Q2 2025, 50.5% of Opportunity Zone tracts saw year-over-year price gains, compared to 56% outside the zones; however, 39% of zones posted double-digit annual increases, outpacing the 32% share outside.

  • The Midwest led growth, with Wisconsin (68%), Indiana (65%), Iowa (65%), Michigan (64%), and Missouri (59%) seeing the highest share of Opportunity Zones with annual price increases.

  • Nearly 80% of Opportunity Zones had median home prices below the national $369,000 median, and about half were under $225,000, keeping them more affordable but often more volatile than other markets.

Housing numbers point to cooling sales, rising rental supply, and ADU push link

  • If mortgage rates dropped to 6%, 5.5 million more households could afford a median-priced home, including 1.6 million renters who could shift into ownership.

  • Rental home inventory in Atlanta, Phoenix, Dallas, Houston, Tampa, and Charlotte jumped over 20% in the past year, fueled by owners renting after failing to sell.

  • Single-family home sales are at their lowest level since 1995, with a 4.7-month housing supply—the highest since 2015—signaling soft demand despite a 2 million home national shortfall.

AI & Real Estate - Today’s Trends

Tool of the Day - Shovels

Shovels helps you identify qualified contractors, understand their work history, and connect with decision makers. Access rich permit data to power your contractor sales and marketing. Data platform combining building permits and other data to identify construction project opportunities.

AI Predictive Maintenance Is Even Coming for Your Garage Doorlink

New AI algorithms are spotting early signs of wear in garage doors — cutting repair costs, preventing breakdowns, and extending equipment life for homeowners.

RCIC Launches 2,500 AI Tools to Revolutionize Real Estatelink

The massive AI suite covers everything from automated valuations to marketing content — aiming to give real estate pros an all-in-one tech edge.

Hudson Pacific Bets on AI-Driven Office Demand to Spark West Coast Comebacklink

The REIT is banking on AI companies’ space needs — plus fresh liquidity moves — to revive struggling West Coast office markets.

MetroList Integrates Restb.ai to Modernize Listings and Boost Accessibilitylink

The new integration uses AI to auto-tag listing photos, streamline MLS input, and enhance accessibility — cutting time for agents while improving search accuracy.

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Pro Member Only Content Below

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Medical Office Real Estate Trends 2025

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New Student Housing Playbook Investors are using

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15 Cities Crash the Renter Hotlist

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The secret to profitable mixed-use projects isn’t the buildings—it’s this

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Housing market his hitting its turning point

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Proptech Startups That Just Got Funded

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Charted: Top 10 Companies Leading the New Era of AI

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